Emkay Global Financial Services has come with its June quarterly earning estimates for Engineering & Capital Goods (ECG) sector. According to the research firm, revenue growth would moderate to 11% (YoY) to Rs 276.9 bn.
Emkay Global Financial Services Q1FY13 Result Preview for engineering & capital goods sector:
Deceleration in earnings growth to continue in Q1FY13E; Owing to deceleration in revenue growth momentum and yoy decline in EBITDA margins. At this juncture, resumption of investment spend is important versus earnings performance.
Revenue growth would moderate to 11% yoy to Rs276.9 bn - owing to lower order book covers, moderation in economic activity and longer execution cycles.
Engineering College Chennai
Growth moderation combined with rising input costs and lack of operating leverage, EBITDA margin expected to contract by 30 bps yoy to 11.9%. Correspondingly, EBITDA growth to be muted at 8% yoy to Rs33.1 bn.
Engineering Industry
Led by muted operational performance and higher interest & depreciation charges, APAT growth to decelerate to 5% yoy to Rs20.5 bn. Bhel (+10%), L&T (+7%), Thermax (+6%) and Blue Star (+68%) are expected to be outperformers while the rest of the universe is expected to post decline in net profits.
Expect marginal pick-up in order inflows in Q1FY13E following slippage of order finalizations in Mar’12 quarter. We expect order inflows to rise by 6% yoy to Rs281.5 bn and comprise 17% of FY13E target order inflows.
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